Predicted survival interval (d) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 8 | 12 | 16 | |
Comprehensive model | ||||
b0−4 | 0.18 ± 0.11 | −0.79 ± 0.12 | −1.29 ± 0.14 | −1.66 ± 0.16 |
b>4 | 1.38 ± 0.08 | 0.81 ± 0.08 | 0.52 ± 0.08 | 0.14 ± 0.08 |
wV | 0.73 ± 0.08 | 1.00 ± 0.09 | 1.02 ± 0.10 | 1.03 ± 0.10 |
wS | −0.35 ± 0.07 | −0.46 ± 0.08 | −0.49 ± 0.08 | −0.47 ± 0.08 |
wD | 0.12 ± 0.07 | 0.26 ± 0.07 | 0.32 ± 0.07 | −0.46 ± 0.08 |
Loge-likelihood | −757.7 | −764.5 | −757.6 | −736.6 |
Age-size model | ||||
b0−4 | 0.11 ± 0.11 | −0.89 ± 0.12 | −1.40 ± 0.14 | −1.80 ± 0.17 |
b>4 | 1.37 ± 0.08 | 0.79 ± 0.07 | 0.50 ± 0.07 | 0.14 ± 0.07 |
wV | 0.69 ± 0.08 | 0.94 ± 0.08 | 0.96 ± 0.08 | 1.04 ± 0.09 |
Loge-likelihood | −775.7 | −789.8 | −783.2 | −768.7 |
ssEM model | ||||
b | 0.95 ± 0.06 | 0.28 ± 0.06 | −0.03 ± 0.06 | −0.38 ± 0.07 |
wV | 0.93 ± 0.08 | 1.20 ± 0.09 | 1.20 ± 0.09 | 1.22 ± 0.09 |
wS | −0.38 ± 0.07 | −0.51 ± 0.07 | −0.53 ± 0.07 | −0.55 ± 0.07 |
wD | 0.14 ± 0.07 | 0.29 ± 0.07 | 0.36 ± 0.07 | 0.51 ± 0.08 |
Loge-likelihood | −804.8 | −837.7 | −840.6 | −807.4 |
Size model | ||||
b | 0.92 ± 0.06 | 0.25 ± 0.06 | −0.06 ± 0.06 | −0.38 ± 0.06 |
wV | 0.90 ± 0.07 | 1.14 ± 0.08 | 1.17 ± 0.08 | 1.25 ± 0.09 |
Loge-likelihood | −828.8 | −872.6 | −877.8 | −852.2 |
Naïve model | ||||
b | 0.79 ± 0.03 | 0.19 ± 0.03 | −0.05 ± 0.03 | −0.30 ± 0.03 |
Loge-likelihood | −940.6 | −1043.2 | −1049.6 | −1032.7 |
↵aValues represent the least square error parameters. CIs were computed by resampling the spines 10,000 times and computing the CI of the distribution of estimated parameters. All parameters were determined by independently fitting each of the five models to the data.