Table 3.

Models, parameters, and their prior distributions

ModelPerceptual model parameters (prior mean in native space, prior variance in estimation space)Response model parameter: response stochasticity
Evolution rateInitial variance of belief regarding jarsDisconfirmatory biasBelief instability
1ω (−2, 16)ν (exp(4.85), 1)
2ω (−2, 16)σ2(0) (0.8, 0.5)ν (exp(4.85), 1)
3ω (−2, 16)ϕ (0.1, 2)ν (exp(4.85), 1)
4ω (−2, 16)σ2(0) (0.8, 0.5)ϕ (0.1, 2)ν (exp(4.85), 1)
5ω (−2, 16)κ1 (1, 1)ν (exp(4.85), 1)
6ω (−2, 16)σ2(0) (0.8, 0.5)κ1 (1, 1)ν (exp(4.85), 1)