Review Article
Frailty as a Predictor of Alzheimer Disease, Vascular Dementia, and All Dementia Among Community-Dwelling Older People: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2016.05.013Get rights and content

Abstract

Objective

To perform a systematic search of the literature for currently available evidence on frailty as a predictor of dementia and to conduct a meta-analysis to synthesize the pooled risk estimates among community-dwelling older people.

Design

A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Data Sources

Embase, MEDLINE, CINAHL Plus, PsycINFO, and the Cochrane Library from 2000 to January 2016, and reference lists of relevant articles.

Eligibility Criteria

Any studies that prospectively examined the incident risks of dementia with frailty among community-dwelling older people without language restriction.

Results

Of 2565 studies identified through the systematic review, 7 studies were included in this review. Of these, 4 studies reported hazard ratios (HR) of incident dementia for physical frailty defined by Cardiovascular Health Study criteria and were included in a meta-analysis. Frailty was a significant predictor of incident Alzheimer disease (4 studies: pooled HR = 1.28, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 1.00–1.63, P = .05), vascular dementia (2 studies: pooled HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.40–5.23, P = .003), and all dementia (3 studies: pooled HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.07–1.67, P = .01). Heterogeneity across the studies was low to modest (I2 = 0%–51%). A random-effects meta-regression analysis showed that the female proportion of the cohort primarily mediated the association of frailty with Alzheimer disease (female proportion coefficient = 0.04, 95%CI = 0.01–0.08, P = .01).

Conclusion

This systematic review and meta-analysis suggests that frailty was a significant predictor of Alzheimer disease, vascular dementia, and all dementia among community-dwelling older people. Frail women may have a higher risk of incident Alzheimer disease than frail men.

Section snippets

Data Sources and Search Strategy

A systematic literature search was conducted in January 2016 based on a protocol developed in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA)24 and Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE)25 statements. Five electronic databases (Embase, MEDLINE, CINAHL Plus, PsycINFO, and the Cochrane Library) were searched for studies published in 2000 or later without language restriction and with an explosion function if available. The

Selection Processes

A systematic search of the literature using 5 electronic databases identified 2564 studies, and 1 study21 was found via searching bibliographies of the relevant articles. Among the 2565 studies, 832 duplicate studies and 1722 studies that were considered irrelevant to this review during title and abstract screening were excluded, leaving 11 studies for full-text review. Four studies were further excluded because 2 studies did not use dementia as an outcome and another 2 were editorials or

Discussion

This systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrated that baseline physical frailty is a statistically significant predictor of Alzheimer disease, vascular dementia, and all dementia among community-dwelling older people. Among 4 previous studies examining the associations of frailty with incident Alzheimer disease, we confirmed moderate heterogeneity and no evidence of publication bias. A random-effects meta-regression analysis showed that women with frailty had a higher risk of Alzheimer

Conclusion

This systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrated pooled evidence suggesting that frailty was a significant predictor of dementia, including Alzheimer disease, vascular dementia, and all dementia, among community-dwelling older people. As frailty is a dynamic condition and its status can change over time, interventions against frailty may provide the additional benefit of potentially preventing or delaying dementia.

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    The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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